Galatasaray
Turkish Cup
Dec 18, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
 
Istanbul Basaksehir

1-0

Kutucu (22')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Turkish Cup Group Stage clash between Galatasaray and Istanbul Basaksehir.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Istanbul
Thursday, December 18 at 5.30pm in Turkish Cup
Next Game: Galatasaray vs. Kasimpasa
Sunday, December 21 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
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Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Istanbul
Thursday, December 18 at 5.30pm in Turkish Cup
Next Game: Istanbul vs. Gaziantep
Monday, December 22 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 57.53%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 21.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 1-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 (5.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
GalatasarayDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
57.53%21.04%21.42%
Both teams to score 60.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63%37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.81%59.19%
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.27%12.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.04%38.96%
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46%30.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.24%66.75%
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 57.53%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 21.42%
    Draw 21.05%
GalatasarayDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 8.26%
1-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 6.73%
3-0 @ 5.67%
3-2 @ 3.99%
4-1 @ 3.47%
4-0 @ 2.92%
4-2 @ 2.06%
5-1 @ 1.43%
5-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 57.53%
1-1 @ 9.5%
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 3.89%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.05%
1-2 @ 5.64%
0-1 @ 4.61%
0-2 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 2.3%
1-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 21.42%

Head to Head
May 30, 2025 6pm
gameweek 38
Galatasaray
2-0
Istanbul
Mertens (17' pen.), Osimhen (81')
Osimhen (45+2'), Frankowski (50')

Ba (28')
Jan 12, 2025 4pm
gameweek 19
Istanbul
1-2
Galatasaray
Piatek (53')
Opoku (13'), Gureler (37'), Paulin Keny (45'), Piatek (74')
Yilmaz (42', 59')
Buruk (14'), Akgun (16'), Ayhan (21'), Torreira (31'), Sallai (79')
Feb 10, 2024 4pm
gameweek 25
Galatasaray
2-0
Istanbul
Yilmaz (25'), Mertens (31')
Mertens (1'), Yilmaz (83')

Souza (36'), Lima (90+2')
Sep 23, 2023 6pm
gameweek 6
Istanbul
1-2
Galatasaray
Dubois (64')
Dennis (12'), Ozcan (19'), Lima (31')
Ziyech (43'), Icardi (50' pen.)
Oliveira (33'), Demirbay (82')
rhs 2.0


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