Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnsdorf win with a probability of 67.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.82% and a win for Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou had a probability of 14.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnsdorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%) , while for a Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.