Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Star Starachowice win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Siarka Tarnobrzeg had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Star Starachowice win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Siarka Tarnobrzeg win was 2-1 (6.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.