Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Posusje win with a probability of 50.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.16% and a win for Sesvete had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Posusje win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.55%) , while for a Sesvete win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.