Club Friendlies 4
Aug 15, 2026 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo
  • 17' yellowcard
  • goal Neskes 3'
  • goal Alvaro Santamaria 42'
  • yellowcard 45'

Mosconia vs Real Aviles - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mosconia

Real Aviles

Club Friendlies 4
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 11.30am
Rayo Cantabria 2 - 1 Real Aviles

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mosconia win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Real Aviles had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 30.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mosconia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Real Aviles win was 0-1 (11.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Mosconia 36.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 30.58% ▲ (+0.06)
Real Aviles 32.76% ▼ (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.69% ▲ (+0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.63% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 34.37% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 39.62% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 60.38% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 20.1% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 3.5 79.9% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 4.5 9.98% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 4.5 90.02% ▼ (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Mosconia 27.48% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 48.68% ▲ (+0.16)
Real Aviles 23.84% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Mosconia 47.14% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 11.41% ▼ (-0.09)
Real Aviles 41.45%

Corners

Over 8 46.02% ▲ (+0.62)
Equal 8 12.65% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 8 41.33% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 9 34.3% ▲ (+0.47)
Equal 9 11.71% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 9 53.98% ▼ (-0.62)
Over 10.5 24.37% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 10.5 75.63% ▼ (-0.33)

Mosconia Goals

Over 1.5 31.85% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 68.15% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 2.5 11.22% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 88.78% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 3.37% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 96.63% ▼ (-0.08)

Real Aviles Goals

Over 0.5 64.02% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 35.98% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 28.63% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 71.37% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 10.27% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 89.73% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 2.95% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 97.05% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Mosconia 36.66%
Draw 30.59%
Real Aviles 32.76%
Mosconia
1-0 @ 11.92% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.64%
2-0 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 36.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.74%
0-0 @ 11.41% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 30.59%
Real Aviles
0-1 @ 11.05% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 32.76%