Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holbaek B&I win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Tarnby FF had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holbaek B&I win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Tarnby FF win was 1-2 (6.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.