Club Friendlies 4
Aug 11, 2026 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio El Malecón
  • Joselu Friaza 78' goal
  • Christian Lagüera 83' redcard
  • goal Pau Miguélez 90'+2'

Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Sestao River - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnastica Torrelavega

All competitions
Club Friendlies 4
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 5.30pm
Gimnastica 2 - 1 CD Basconia

Sestao River

All competitions
Club Friendlies 4
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 5.30pm
Sestao River 2 - 1 Portugalete

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnastica Torrelavega win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Sestao River had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnastica Torrelavega win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Sestao River win was 0-1 (8.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result

Gimnastica Torrelavega 39.24%
Draw 28.61%
Sestao River 32.15%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.15%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.1%
Under 1.5 26.9%
Over 2.5 47.46%
Under 2.5 52.54%
Over 3.5 27.2%
Under 3.5 72.8%
Over 4.5 15.54%
Under 4.5 84.46%

First Half Winner

Gimnastica Torrelavega 32.65%
Draw 42.64%
Sestao River 24.71%

Team To Score First

Gimnastica Torrelavega 48.77%
No Goal 8.43%
Sestao River 42.8%

Corners

Over 8 56.63%
Equal 8 10.95%
Under 8 32.41%
Over 9 45.57%
Equal 9 11.07%
Under 9 43.37%
Over 10.5 35.25%
Under 10.5 64.75%

Gimnastica Torrelavega Goals

Over 1.5 38.2%
Under 1.5 61.8%
Over 2.5 16.03%
Under 2.5 83.97%
Over 3.5 6.17%
Under 3.5 93.83%

Sestao River Goals

Over 0.5 65.77%
Under 0.5 34.23%
Over 1.5 32.63%
Under 1.5 67.37%
Over 2.5 13.38%
Under 2.5 86.62%
Over 3.5 4.29%
Under 3.5 95.71%

Score analysis

Gimnastica Torrelavega 39.24%
Draw 28.61%
Sestao River 32.15%
Gimnastica Torrelavega
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 7.86%
2-0 @ 7.1%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.15%
Other @ 5.68%
Total : 39.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.38%
0-0 @ 8.43%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.61%
Sestao River
0-1 @ 8.47%
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.16%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 32.15%