Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flora II win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Phoenix had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flora II win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.22%) and 3-2 (5.15%). The likeliest Phoenix win was 1-2 (5.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.