Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Breitenrain win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Prishtina Bern had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Breitenrain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Prishtina Bern win was 1-2 (5.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.