Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel II win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Black Stars had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel II win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.84%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Black Stars win was 2-1 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.