Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banska Bystrica win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Zlate Moravce had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banska Bystrica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Zlate Moravce win was 2-1 (7.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.