Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meshakhte win with a probability of 44.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.49% and a win for Ulytau had a probability of 26.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meshakhte win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.55%) , while for a Ulytau win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.