Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tauras win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Džiugas Telšiai had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tauras win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Džiugas Telšiai win was 0-1 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.