Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 56.75%. A win for Hønefoss had a probability of 23.43% and a draw had a probability of 19.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.47%) and 3-1 (6.39%). The likeliest Hønefoss win was 1-2 (5.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.