Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hønefoss win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Eidsvold had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hønefoss win was 2-1 with a probability of 6.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.45%) and 3-2 (4.99%). The likeliest Eidsvold win was 1-2 (5.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.