Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Lichtenberg win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Altglienicke had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Lichtenberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 6.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.02%) and 3-2 (4.39%). The likeliest Altglienicke win was 1-2 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.