Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sardarapat win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Gandzasar had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sardarapat win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Gandzasar win was 0-1 (6.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.