Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rigas Futbola Skola win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for TransINVEST Vilnius had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rigas Futbola Skola win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.56%). The likeliest TransINVEST Vilnius win was 1-2 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.