Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norrby win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for Onsala had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norrby win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.7%) and 1-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Onsala win was 1-2 (6.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.