Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyn Oslo win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Moss had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyn Oslo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Moss win was 1-2 (7.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.