Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lubeck win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Victoria Hamburg had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lubeck win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Victoria Hamburg win was 1-2 (7.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.