Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harju Jalgpallikool win with a probability of 59.63%. A win for Mārupe had a probability of 20.28% and a draw had a probability of 20.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harju Jalgpallikool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.09%) and 1-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Mārupe win was 1-2 (5.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%).