Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gagauziya-Oguzsport win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Dacia-Buiucani had a probability of 37.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gagauziya-Oguzsport win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Dacia-Buiucani win was 1-2 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.