Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 70.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.93% and a win for Ogre United had a probability of 13.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%) , while for a Ogre United win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.