Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cherno More win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.21% and a win for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cherno More win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%) , while for a Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.