Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cherno More win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.45% and a win for Lokomotiv G Oryahovitsa had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cherno More win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%) , while for a Lokomotiv G Oryahovitsa win it was 1-0 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.