Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CFR Cluj win with a probability of 66.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for ASA Târgu Mureş had a probability of 13.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a CFR Cluj win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%) , while for a ASA Târgu Mureş win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.