Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buchbach win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Passau had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buchbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.05%) and 3-1 (5.34%). The likeliest Passau win was 1-2 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.