Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sportfreunde Schwaig win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Buchbach had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sportfreunde Schwaig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Buchbach win was 1-2 (6.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.