Club Friendlies 3
Feb 11, 2026 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Aalborg Portland Park
  • Valdemar Møller Damgaard 42' goal

Aalborg BK vs Thisted - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aalborg BK

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 9.30am
AaB 3 - 2 Skive

Thisted

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 5, 2026 2.00pm
Liefering 1 - 0 Thisted

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalborg BK win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.26% and a win for Thisted had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aalborg BK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.19%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%) , while for a Thisted win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

Aalborg BK 59.11% ▲ (+1.54)
Draw 22.26% ▲ (+0.71)
Thisted 18.58% ▼ (-2.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.38% ▼ (-2.55)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.81% ▼ (-2.30)
Under 1.5 22.19% ▲ (+2.31)
Over 2.5 55.97% ▼ (-2.50)
Under 2.5 44.03% ▲ (+2.50)
Over 3.5 32.81% ▼ (-2.90)
Under 3.5 67.19% ▲ (+2.90)
Over 4.5 21.05% ▼ (-1.81)
Under 4.5 78.95% ▲ (+1.80)

First Half Winner

Aalborg BK 41.81% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 40.5% ▲ (+2.32)
Thisted 17.69% ▼ (-2.09)

Team To Score First

Aalborg BK 61.47% ▲ (+3.36)
No Goal 6.61% ▲ (+1.15)
Thisted 31.92% ▼ (-4.49)

Corners

Over 8 62.48% ▼ (-1.79)
Equal 8 10.57% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 8 26.95% ▲ (+1.63)
Over 9 51.31% ▼ (-1.79)
Equal 9 11.17%
Under 9 37.52% ▲ (+1.79)
Over 10.5 40.45% ▼ (-1.63)
Under 10.5 59.55% ▲ (+1.63)

Aalborg BK Goals

Over 1.5 55.69% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 1.5 44.31% ▲ (+0.70)
Over 2.5 30.15% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 69.85% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 13.41% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 3.5 86.59% ▲ (+0.33)

Thisted Goals

Over 0.5 53.55% ▼ (-3.16)
Under 0.5 46.45% ▲ (+3.16)
Over 1.5 22.47% ▼ (-3.05)
Under 1.5 77.53% ▲ (+3.05)
Over 2.5 6.69% ▼ (-1.87)
Under 2.5 93.31% ▲ (+1.88)
Over 3.5 1.92% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 3.5 98.08% ▲ (+0.58)

Score analysis

Aalborg BK 59.11%
Draw 22.26%
Thisted 18.57%
Aalborg BK
1-0 @ 10.49% ▲ (+1.08)
2-1 @ 10.19% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.2% ▲ (+0.42)
3-0 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.77)
3-1 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.32)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 13.36% ▼ (-0.30)
Total : 59.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 6.61% ▲ (+1.15)
2-2 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.34)
Other @ 0.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 22.26%
Thisted
1-2 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.36)
0-1 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.35)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.57)
1-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.45)
0-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.54)
Total : 18.57%