/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ftwelog.png)
-
Aske Adelgaard
43'
-
Ramiz Zerrouki
65'
-
Fabio Fehr
31'
-
Patrik Kristal
60'
-
Patrik Kristal
60'
FC Twente vs Thun - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F04%2Fkristian-hlynsson-celebrates-scoring-for-fc-twente-with-stav-lemkin-on-march-1-2026-69d66bc429283529083793.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 59.6%. A win for Thun had a probability of 20.47% and a draw had a probability of 19.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.13%) and 1-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Thun win was 1-2 (5.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result
FC Twente
59.6%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
19.89%
Thun
20.47%
Both Teams to Score:
61.06%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
86.58%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
13.42%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 2.5
69.13%
Under 2.5
30.87%
Over 3.5
46.57%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
53.43%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
32.57%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
67.43%
▼
(-0.03)
First Half Winner
FC Twente
46.34%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
35.61%
▼
(-0.01)
Thun
18.05%
Team To Score First
FC Twente
64.07%
No Goal
3.41%
Thun
32.52%
Corners
Over 8
62.51%
Equal 8
9.63%
Under 8
27.86%
Over 9
52.3%
Equal 9
10.2%
Under 9
37.49%
Over 10.5
42.27%
Under 10.5
57.73%
FC Twente Goals
Over 1.5
63.99%
Under 1.5
36.01%
Over 2.5
38.61%
Under 2.5
61.39%
Over 3.5
20.79%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
79.21%
▼
(-0.02)
Thun Goals
Over 0.5
57.19%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
42.81%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
29.26%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
70.74%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 2.5
11.63%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
88.37%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
4.12%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
95.88%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
FC Twente
59.6%
Draw
19.89%
Thun
20.48%
FC Twente
2-1
@
10.1%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.13%
1-0 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.14%
3-0 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 20.2%
Total : 59.6%
2-0 @ 7.13%
1-0 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.14%
3-0 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 20.2%
Total : 59.6%
Draw
1-1
@
8.04%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87%
0-0 @ 3.41%
3-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 19.89%
2-2 @ 5.87%
0-0 @ 3.41%
3-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 19.89%
Thun
1-2
@
5.49%
0-1 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 20.48%
0-1 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 20.48%