Europa League
Jul 30, 2026 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT MCH Arena
  • Mads Bech Sørensen 35' yellowcard
  • Martin Erlić 44' yellowcard
  • Martin Erlić 54' redcard
  • Rasmus Nissen Kristensen  75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vaclav Cerny 57'
  • goal Milot Rashica 70'
  • goal Orkun Kökçü  76'
  • yellowcard Hyeon-gyu Oh 81'
  • yellowcard Yasin Özcan 86'

FC Midtjylland vs Besiktas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Midtjylland

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 7.00pm
Besiktas 1 - 0 Midtjylland

Besiktas

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 7.00pm
Besiktas 1 - 0 Midtjylland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

FC Midtjylland 41.64% (-0.04)
Draw 24.78%
Besiktas 33.59% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.09%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.28% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 22.72% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 54.33% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.67% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.74% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.26% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.61% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 81.39% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

FC Midtjylland 29.58% (+0.03)
Draw 39.42% (-0.02)
Besiktas 31% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

FC Midtjylland 52.12% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.23%
Besiktas 41.65% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 55.58% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.18%
Under 8 33.24% (+0.02)
Over 9 44.38% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 44.42% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 34.04% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 65.96%

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 1.5 42.36% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 57.64% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 19.14% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.86% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.87%
Under 3.5 93.13%

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5 68.21% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 31.79% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 36.26% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 63.74% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 14.66% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 85.34% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.05% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.95% (-0.01)

Score analysis

FC Midtjylland 41.63%
Draw 24.79%
Besiktas 33.59%
FC Midtjylland
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.46%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.65%
Total : 41.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 6.23%
2-2 @ 5.61% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.79%
Besiktas
1-2 @ 7.82% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.58%
0-2 @ 5.08%
1-3 @ 3.23% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.49% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.83% (+0.01)
Total : 33.59%

Head to Head

Europa League
Jul 23, 2026 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Beşiktaş Park
  • Orkun Kökçü  26' goal
  • redcard Friday Etim 15'