FA Trophy
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Arbories Memorial Sports Ground

Padiham vs Pontefract Collieries - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Padiham

All competitions

Pontefract Collieries

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pontefract Collieries win with a probability of 61.89%. A win for Padiham has a probability of 20.52% and a draw has a probability of 17.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontefract Collieries win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.11%) and 0-1 (6.76%). The likeliest Padiham win is 2-1 (4.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.65%).

Result

Padiham 20.52% (-0.04)
Draw 17.63% (-0.07)
Pontefract Collieries 61.89% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.29% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.69% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 14.31% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 67.28% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 32.72% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 46.81% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 53.19% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 33.39% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 66.61% (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Padiham 20.05% (-0.04)
Draw 38.12% (+0.25)
Pontefract Collieries 41.84% (-0.21)

Team To Score First

Padiham 35.69% (-0.11)
No Goal 3.78% (-0.02)
Pontefract Collieries 60.53% (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 47.22% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.47% (+0.01)
Under 8 41.31% (+0.02)
Over 9 36.44% (-0.04)
Equal 9 10.78% (+0.01)
Under 9 52.78% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 27.08% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 72.92% (+0.05)

Padiham Goals

Over 1.5 27.16% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.84% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 10.79%
Under 2.5 89.21%
Over 3.5 3.86% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.14% (-0.02)

Pontefract Collieries Goals

Over 0.5 84.77% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 15.23% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 63.45% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 36.55% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 40.02% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 59.98% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 21.84% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 78.16% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Padiham 20.53%
Draw 17.64%
Pontefract Collieries 61.91%
Padiham
2-1 @ 4.73% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 3.85%
2-0 @ 2.63%
3-1 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.79% (+0.02)
Total : 20.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.65% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.78% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.4% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 17.64%
Pontefract Collieries
1-2 @ 8.49% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.11% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.76%
1-3 @ 6.52%
0-3 @ 5.99% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 4.27%
Other @ 21.77% (+0.18)
Total : 61.91%