Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Golcar United win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Padiham had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Golcar United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.09%) and 2-3 (4.67%). The likeliest Padiham win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
-0.43) 
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