FA Trophy
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Scholars Ground

Chasetown vs AFC Rushden and Diamonds - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chasetown

All competitions

AFC Rushden and Diamonds

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chasetown win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for AFC Rushden and Diamonds had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chasetown win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest AFC Rushden and Diamonds win was 1-2 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Chasetown 39.8% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 22.81% ▲ (+0.08)
AFC Rushden and Diamonds 37.34% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.15% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 18.67% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 60.53% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 39.47% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 38.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 61.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 24.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 75.32% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Chasetown 28.97% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 42.55% ▲ (+0.12)
AFC Rushden and Diamonds 28.48% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Chasetown 50.8%
No Goal 5.09% ▲ (+0.04)
AFC Rushden and Diamonds 44.11% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 61.74% ▲ (+0.20)
Equal 8 10.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 28.03% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 9 50.98% ▲ (+0.19)
Equal 9 10.76%
Under 9 38.26% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 10.5 40.53% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 10.5 59.47% ▼ (-0.18)

Chasetown Goals

Over 1.5 43.89% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 56.11% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 21.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 78.65% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 8.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 91.05% ▲ (+0.04)

AFC Rushden and Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5 70.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 29.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 41.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 58.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 19.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.19%
Under 3.5 91.81%

Score analysis

Chasetown 39.81%
Draw 22.82%
AFC Rushden and Diamonds 37.34%
Chasetown
2-1 @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11%
Other @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 39.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.94% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.82%
AFC Rushden and Diamonds
1-2 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 3.84%
2-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.78%
Other @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 37.34%