FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Moneyfields Sports Ground

Uttoxeter Town
2 - 3
Heanor Town

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Uttoxeter Town and Heanor Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heanor Town win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Uttoxeter Town had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heanor Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.27%) and 0-1 (4.85%). The likeliest Uttoxeter Town win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heanor Town would win this match.

Result
Uttoxeter TownDrawHeanor Town
35.74% (0.431 0.43)21.58% (0.016999999999999 0.02)42.67% (-0.439 -0.44)
Both teams to score 70.68% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.17% (0.030000000000001 0.03)28.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.23% (0.032000000000004 0.03)49.77% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Uttoxeter Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.71% (0.206 0.21)17.29% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.37% (0.35599999999999 0.36)47.63% (-0.348 -0.35)
Heanor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (-0.14 -0.14)14.54% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.42% (-0.279 -0.28)42.58% (0.288 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Uttoxeter Town 35.74%
    Heanor Town 42.67%
    Draw 21.58%
Uttoxeter TownDrawHeanor Town
2-1 @ 7.47% (0.049 0.05)
1-0 @ 4.41% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.37% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 4.21% (0.033 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.87% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.27% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.027 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.19% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 35.74%
1-1 @ 8.51%
2-2 @ 7.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.71% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.27% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.85% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 4.63% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.54% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 2.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-4 @ 1.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 42.67%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Uttoxeter Town