Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heanor Town win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Uttoxeter Town had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heanor Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.27%) and 0-1 (4.85%). The likeliest Uttoxeter Town win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heanor Town would win this match.