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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Arden Garages Stadium

Stratford Town
2 - 3
Worksop

Worley (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Stratford Town and Worksop Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stratford Town

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Last Game: Stratford Town 1-5 Shrewsbury
Sunday, November 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Worksop Town

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Last Game: Stockport 5-1 Worksop
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worksop Town win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Stratford Town had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worksop Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Stratford Town win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worksop Town would win this match.

Result
Stratford TownDrawWorksop Town
26.35% (0.041 0.04)22.44% (0.0010000000000012 0)51.21% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.76% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.79% (0.032999999999994 0.03)38.2% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.52% (0.033999999999999 0.03)60.48% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Stratford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.76% (0.047000000000011 0.05)27.24% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.33% (0.064 0.06)62.66% (-0.067 -0.07)
Worksop Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)15.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)43.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Stratford Town 26.35%
    Worksop Town 51.21%
    Draw 22.43%
Stratford TownDrawWorksop Town
2-1 @ 6.58% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 3.48% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 26.35%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.91% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.84% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 2.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 51.21%

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