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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Southwood Stadium

Ramsgate
3 - 1
Folkestone Invicta

Paxman (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smith (86')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Ramsgate and Folkestone Invicta.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ramsgate

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Last Game: Ramsgate 5-0 Southall
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Folkestone Invicta

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Last Game: Folkestone Invicta 2-3 Eastleigh
Tuesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ramsgate win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Folkestone Invicta had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ramsgate win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Folkestone Invicta win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ramsgate would win this match.

Result
RamsgateDrawFolkestone Invicta
49.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)21.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)29.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 68.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.94% (0.015999999999991 0.02)31.06% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.54% (0.018000000000001 0.02)52.46% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Ramsgate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.83% (0.010999999999996 0.01)13.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02)39.87% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Folkestone Invicta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.32%21.68% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.18% (0.0019999999999953 0)54.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ramsgate 49.33%
    Folkestone Invicta 29.22%
    Draw 21.44%
RamsgateDrawFolkestone Invicta
2-1 @ 8.97%
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.87%
1-0 @ 5.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 49.33%
1-1 @ 8.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 6.86%
0-0 @ 2.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 4.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.34%
1-4 @ 1.32%
3-4 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 29.22%