Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stalybridge Celtic win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Ramsbottom United had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stalybridge Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Ramsbottom United win was 2-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stalybridge Celtic would win this match.