FA Cup
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Craik Park
  • Luke James 44' goal
  • Josh King 90' redcard

Morpeth Town vs AFC Emley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Morpeth Town

All competitions

AFC Emley

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morpeth Town win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for AFC Emley had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morpeth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.58%) and 2-0 (4.84%). The likeliest AFC Emley win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morpeth Town would win this match.

Result

Morpeth Town 45.05% (+0.01)
Draw 21.31% (-0.01)
AFC Emley 33.64% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

71.08% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.93%
Under 2.5 28.07% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 51.18% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 48.82% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 31.83% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 68.17% (-0.01)

Morpeth Town Goals

Over 0.5 86.57%
Under 0.5 13.43% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 59.61% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 40.39% (-0.01)

AFC Emley Goals

Over 0.5 82.1% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 17.9% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 51.31% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 48.69% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Morpeth Town 45.05%
Draw 21.31%
AFC Emley 33.64%
Morpeth Town
2-1 @ 8.33%
3-1 @ 5.58% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.84%
1-0 @ 4.83% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.8% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.24%
4-1 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.41% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-3 @ 1.38%
5-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 45.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.3% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 7.17%
3-3 @ 2.75%
0-0 @ 2.4% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 21.31%
AFC Emley
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.14% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.11%
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.77%
1-4 @ 1.76%
3-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 33.64%