FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying

Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK

Craik Park

Morpeth Town
1 - 0
AFC Emley

James (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Morpeth Town and AFC Emley.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Emley

Last Game: Trafford 0-3 AFC Emley
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morpeth Town win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for AFC Emley had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morpeth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.58%) and 2-0 (4.84%). The likeliest AFC Emley win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morpeth Town would win this match.

Result
Morpeth Town	Draw	AFC Emley
45.05% ( 0)	21.31% ( -0)	33.64% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 71.08% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.93%

28.07% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.18% (

48.82% (

-0.01)

Morpeth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.57%

13.43% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.61% (

40.39% (

-0.01)

AFC Emley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.1% (

-0)

17.9% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.31% (

-0)

48.69% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Morpeth Town 45.05%

AFC Emley 33.64%

Draw 21.31%

Morpeth Town	Draw	AFC Emley
2-1 @ 8.33% 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.84% 1-0 @ 4.83% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-3 @ 1.38% 5-1 @ 1.12% 5-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.12% Total : 45.05%	1-1 @ 8.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 7.17% 3-3 @ 2.75% 0-0 @ 2.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.31%	1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 1.76% 3-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.84% Total : 33.64%