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FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 4, 2024 at 2pm UK
The welfare ground

AFC Emley
1 - 0
St Helens

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between AFC Emley and St Helens.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Emley

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

St Helens

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:19:Sport:6:
Last Game: Hull FC 6-46 St Helens
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Super League
Next Game: St Helens vs. Salford
Thursday, August 8 at 8pm in Super League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Emley win with a probability of 39%. A win for St Helens had a probability of 38.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Emley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.29%) and 3-1 (4.74%). The likeliest St Helens win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Emley would win this match.

Result
AFC EmleyDrawSt Helens
39% (0.584 0.58)22.27% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)38.72% (-0.533 -0.53)
Both teams to score 68.29% (0.211 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.95% (0.26899999999999 0.27)32.05% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.37% (0.315 0.31)53.62% (-0.317 -0.32)
AFC Emley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.69% (0.36399999999999 0.36)17.3% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.34% (0.63800000000001 0.64)47.65% (-0.639 -0.64)
St Helens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.58% (-0.11000000000001 -0.11)17.42% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.14% (-0.19 -0.19)47.86% (0.189 0.19)
Score Analysis
    AFC Emley 39%
    St Helens 38.72%
    Draw 22.27%
AFC EmleyDrawSt Helens
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.64% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.039 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.06% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 39%
1-1 @ 9.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 7.08% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.01% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.41% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 22.27%
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.27% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.7% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.8% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-4 @ 1.05% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 38.72%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for AFC Emley