FA Cup
Aug 4, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The welfare ground

AFC Emley vs St Helens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Emley

St Helens

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Emley win with a probability of 39%. A win for St Helens had a probability of 38.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Emley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.29%) and 3-1 (4.74%). The likeliest St Helens win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Emley would win this match.

Result

AFC Emley 39% (+0.59)
Draw 22.27% (-0.06)
St Helens 38.72% (-0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.29% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.95% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 32.05% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 46.37% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 53.62% (-0.32)
Over 4.5 27.49% (+0.28)
Under 4.5 72.51% (-0.28)

AFC Emley Goals

Over 0.5 82.69% (+0.37)
Under 0.5 17.3% (-0.37)
Over 1.5 52.34% (+0.64)
Under 1.5 47.65% (-0.64)

St Helens Goals

Over 0.5 82.58% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 17.42% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 52.14% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 47.86% (+0.19)

Score analysis

AFC Emley 39%
Draw 22.27%
St Helens 38.72%
AFC Emley
2-1 @ 8.11% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 5.29% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.74% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.64% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.14% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.71% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 2.08% (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.82% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.19% (+0.04)
4-3 @ 1.06% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 39%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.24% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 7.08% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.01% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 2.41% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 22.27%
St Helens
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.09)
0-1 @ 5.27% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 4.7% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.07)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.8% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.04)
3-4 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 38.72%

Form Data