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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Don Amott Leisure Group Arena

Mickleover
5 - 0
Coleshill Town

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Mickleover Sports and Coleshill Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mickleover Sports

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Last Game: Mickleover 1-1 Derby
Thursday, July 10 at 7.45pm in Pre-Season Friendlies
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Coleshill Town

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Last Game: Brocton 0-1 Coleshill Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mickleover Sports win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Coleshill Town had a probability of 13.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mickleover Sports win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Coleshill Town win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mickleover Sports would win this match.

Result
Mickleover SportsDrawColeshill Town
68.86% (0.030000000000001 0.03)17.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)13.58% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.44% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.32% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)34.68% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.37% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)56.63% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Mickleover Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.86% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)9.13% (0.0129 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.01% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)30.99% (0.032 0.03)
Coleshill Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.11% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)37.88% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34% (-0.087 -0.09)74.66% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Mickleover Sports 68.86%
    Coleshill Town 13.58%
    Draw 17.56%
Mickleover SportsDrawColeshill Town
2-0 @ 9.91% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.91% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 4.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.2% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 68.86%
1-1 @ 8.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.46% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 17.56%
1-2 @ 3.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 13.58%