FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying

Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Martyn Grove

Lordswood
0 - 1
Sittingbourne

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sinai (62')

Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Lordswood and Sittingbourne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lordswood

Last Game: Lordswood 3-1 Binfield
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Sittingbourne

Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 Sittingbourne
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sittingbourne win with a probability of 67.83%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Lordswood had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sittingbourne win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.99%) and 1-3 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.19%), while for a Lordswood win it was 2-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sittingbourne would win this match.

Result
Lordswood	Draw	Sittingbourne
15.13% ( -3.08)	17.03% ( -1.62)	67.83% ( 4.69)

Both teams to score 63.16% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.74% (

1.99)

28.25% (

-2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.93% (

2.43)

49.06% (

-2.44)

Lordswood Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.42% (

-2.04)

31.57% (

2.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.03% (

-2.41)

67.96% (

2.41)

Sittingbourne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.29% (

1.54)

7.7% (

-1.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.55% (

3.8)

27.44% (

-3.81)

Score Analysis

Lordswood 15.13%

Sittingbourne 67.83%

Draw 17.03%

Lordswood	Draw	Sittingbourne
2-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.69) 1-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.53) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.37) Other @ 2.94% Total : 15.13%	1-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.74) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.45) 0-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.36% Total : 17.03%	1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 7.87% ( 0.38) 0-3 @ 6.83% ( 0.68) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 5.05% ( 0.59) 2-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 4.38% ( 0.72) 2-4 @ 2.91% ( 0.19) 1-5 @ 2.59% ( 0.46) 0-5 @ 2.25% ( 0.5) 2-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.2) 3-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 1.11% ( 0.26) 0-6 @ 0.96% ( 0.27) Other @ 3.31% Total : 67.83%