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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Harrison Park

Leek Town
2 - 0
Ashby Ivanhoe

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Leek Town and Ashby Ivanhoe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leek Town

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Last Game: Leek Town 1-0 Port Vale
Wednesday, July 10 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Ashby Ivanhoe

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Last Game: Chasetown 0-1 Ashby Ivanhoe
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leek Town win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Ashby Ivanhoe had a probability of 19.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leek Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 1-0 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for an Ashby Ivanhoe win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leek Town would win this match.

Result
Leek TownDrawAshby Ivanhoe
60.29% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)20.09%19.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 61.15% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.02% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)56.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Leek Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.67% (0.0010000000000048 0)11.33% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Ashby Ivanhoe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)31.03% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)67.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leek Town 60.29%
    Ashby Ivanhoe 19.63%
    Draw 20.09%
Leek TownDrawAshby Ivanhoe
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 7.08%
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 3.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.26%
5-1 @ 1.68%
5-0 @ 1.44%
5-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 60.29%
1-1 @ 8.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.09%
1-2 @ 5.24%
0-1 @ 4.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 19.63%