FA Cup

FA Cup | Preliminary Round

Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Scholars Ground

Chasetown
0 - 1
Ashby Ivanhoe

Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Chasetown and Ashby Ivanhoe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chasetown win with a probability of 62.03%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Ashby Ivanhoe had a probability of 18.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chasetown win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 3-1 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for an Ashby Ivanhoe win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Chasetown	Draw	Ashby Ivanhoe
62.03%	19.03%	18.94%

Both teams to score 63.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.1%

30.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.73%

52.26%

Chasetown Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.32%

9.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.71%

32.29%

Ashby Ivanhoe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.77%

29.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.82%

65.18%

Score Analysis

Chasetown 62.03%

Ashby Ivanhoe 18.94%

Draw 19.03%

Chasetown	Draw	Ashby Ivanhoe
2-1 @ 9.49% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 7.39% 1-0 @ 6.61% 3-0 @ 6% 3-2 @ 4.54% 4-1 @ 4.31% 4-0 @ 3.51% 4-2 @ 2.65% 5-1 @ 2.01% 5-0 @ 1.64% 5-2 @ 1.24% 4-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.85% Total : 62.03%	1-1 @ 8.13% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 2.83% 3-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 0.38% Total : 19.03%	1-2 @ 5% 0-1 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-2 @ 2.14% 1-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 3.88% Total : 18.94%