Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chasetown win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for OJM Black Country had a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chasetown win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 1-3 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a OJM Black Country win it was 2-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chasetown in this match.