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FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hillcrest Avenue

OJM Black Country
1 - 2
Chasetown

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between OJM Black Country and Chasetown.

Form, Standings, Stats

OJM Black Country

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Chasetown

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Last Game: St Ives Town 3-1 Chasetown
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chasetown win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for OJM Black Country had a probability of 14.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chasetown win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 1-3 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a OJM Black Country win it was 2-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chasetown in this match.

Result
OJM Black CountryDrawChasetown
14.25% (0.17 0.17)16.89% (0.274 0.27)68.86% (-0.441 -0.44)
Both teams to score 61.22% (-0.66800000000001 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.4% (-1.009 -1.01)29.59% (1.011 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.29% (-1.236 -1.24)50.7% (1.238 1.24)
OJM Black Country Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.42% (-0.47500000000001 -0.48)33.57% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.78% (-0.525 -0.53)70.21% (0.526 0.53)
Chasetown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.16% (-0.34 -0.34)7.83% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.22% (-0.87599999999999 -0.88)27.77% (0.878 0.88)
Score Analysis
    OJM Black Country 14.25%
    Chasetown 68.86%
    Draw 16.89%
OJM Black CountryDrawChasetown
2-1 @ 3.99% (0.061 0.06)
1-0 @ 2.87% (0.129 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 1.57% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 14.25%
1-1 @ 7.31% (0.206 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.63% (0.15 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 16.89%
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.104 0.1)
0-2 @ 8.53% (0.203 0.2)
1-3 @ 7.9% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 7.24% (0.05 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.272 0.27)
1-4 @ 5.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-4 @ 4.61% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 4.31% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-4 @ 2.75% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-5 @ 2.56% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-5 @ 2.35% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-5 @ 1.4% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-6 @ 1.09% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-4 @ 1% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-6 @ 1% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 68.86%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for OJM Black Country
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St Ives Town 3-1 Chasetown