Holmesdale

0 - 1

Crawley Down Gatwick

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Down Gatwick win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Holmesdale had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Down Gatwick win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.22%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Holmesdale win was 2-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Down Gatwick would win this match.