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FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakley Road

Holmesdale
0 - 1
Crawley Down Gatwick

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Holmesdale and Crawley Down Gatwick.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holmesdale

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Crawley Down Gatwick

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Down Gatwick win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Holmesdale had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Down Gatwick win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.22%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Holmesdale win was 2-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Down Gatwick would win this match.

Result
HolmesdaleDrawCrawley Down Gatwick
28.61% (0.226 0.23)20.98% (0.055000000000003 0.06)50.4% (-0.283 -0.28)
Both teams to score 69.31% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.81% (-0.107 -0.11)29.19% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.79% (-0.13 -0.13)50.21% (0.129 0.13)
Holmesdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (0.073999999999998 0.07)21.08% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (0.119 0.12)53.89% (-0.12 -0.12)
Crawley Down Gatwick Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.81% (-0.12 -0.12)12.18% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.17% (-0.251 -0.25)37.83% (0.25 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Holmesdale 28.61%
    Crawley Down Gatwick 50.4%
    Draw 20.98%
HolmesdaleDrawCrawley Down Gatwick
2-1 @ 6.55% (0.04 0.04)
1-0 @ 4% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.11% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.62% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 28.61%
1-1 @ 8.42% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.9% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.57% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 20.98%
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.22% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.69% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.41% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.27% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 2.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.1% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 50.4%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Holmesdale