FA Cup
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Top Field
  • 72' goal
  • goal Adam Mills 28'
  • goal Eddie Jackson 90'+2'

Hitchin Town vs Leiston - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hitchin Town

All competitions

Leiston

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hitchin Town win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Leiston had a probability of 39.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hitchin Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.59%) and 2-0 (4.57%). The likeliest Leiston win was 1-2 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Hitchin Town 39.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 21.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Leiston 39.18% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.68%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 14.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 67.69%
Under 2.5 32.31%
Over 3.5 45.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 54.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 30.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 69.75% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Hitchin Town 31.92% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 37.52% ▲ (+0.05)
Leiston 30.56% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Hitchin Town 48.6% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 3.63%
Leiston 47.77% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 65.56% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 8 10.16%
Under 8 24.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 54.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11%
Under 9 34.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 43.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 56.4% ▼ (-0.03)

Hitchin Town Goals

Over 1.5 46.53% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 53.47% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 23.97% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 76.03% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 10.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 89.73% ▼ (-0.04)

Leiston Goals

Over 0.5 73.12% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 26.88% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 46.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 53.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 24.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 11.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 88.92% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Hitchin Town 39.65%
Draw 21.16%
Leiston 39.18%
Hitchin Town
2-1 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 39.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.63%
3-3 @ 2% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 21.16%
Leiston
1-2 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.71%
0-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 10.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 39.18%