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Havant & Waterlooville
FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Westleigh Park (Havant, Hampshire)

Havant & W'ville
3 - 0
Wallingford & Crowmarsh

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Havant & Waterlooville and Wallingford & Crowmarsh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Havant & Waterlooville

All competitions
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-3 Portsmouth
Friday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3

Wallingford & Crowmarsh

All competitions
Last Game: Wallingford & Crowmarsh 3-0 Slimbridge
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 70.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Wallingford & Crowmarsh had a probability of 13.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 3-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for a Wallingford & Crowmarsh win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.

Result
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawWallingford & Crowmarsh
70.03% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)16.28% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)13.69% (0.045 0.04)
Both teams to score 62.18% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.22% (0.064999999999998 0.06)27.78% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.54% (0.080999999999996 0.08)48.46% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.85% (0.0019999999999953 0)7.15% (-0.0041000000000002 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.99% (0.012 0.01)26.01% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Wallingford & Crowmarsh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.96% (0.104 0.1)33.03% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.37% (0.115 0.11)69.63% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Havant & Waterlooville 70.03%
    Wallingford & Crowmarsh 13.69%
    Draw 16.28%
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawWallingford & Crowmarsh
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 8.01% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.23% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.43% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.52% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 1.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 70.03%
1-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 16.28%
1-2 @ 3.82% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 13.69%