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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Pilot Field

Hastings
3 - 1
Redhill

FT(HT: 3-1)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Hastings United and Redhill.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hastings United

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Last Game: Middlesbrough 4-1 Hastings
Saturday, January 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Redhill

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Last Game: East Grinstead Town 1-3 Redhill
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hastings United win with a probability of 54.61%. A win for Redhill had a probability of 23.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hastings United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.63%) and 1-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Redhill win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hastings United would win this match.

Result
Hastings UnitedDrawRedhill
54.61% (0.023000000000003 0.02)21.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.84% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.19% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.57% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)36.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.43% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)58.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Hastings United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.59% (0.0040000000000049 0)13.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.65% (0.011000000000003 0.01)40.35% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Redhill Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)28.18% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.13% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)63.87% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hastings United 54.61%
    Redhill 23.84%
    Draw 21.55%
Hastings UnitedDrawRedhill
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 7.59% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 4.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.06%
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 54.61%
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.55%
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 4.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 23.84%

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